Match preview

Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche prediction

Deportivo La Coruna
v
Elche
582615
Deportivo La CorunaDrawElche
Goals expectedBoth teams score44%Over 2.5 goals44%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Deportivo La Coruna

Elche

15 in the table · 43 pts from 38

Mon, Aug 17, 03:00 PM

Estadio Municipal de Riazor

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Deportivo La Coruna the more likely winner at 58%, against 15% for Elche and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Deportivo La Coruna win

58%

Draw

26%

Elche win

15%

Most likely scorelines1014%2012%1112%

What our model expects

Deportivo La CorunaPer gameElche
LWDDWLast 5DDDWD
0.0Shots10.2
1.7Expected goals0.7
0.0Corners0.0
0.0Cards0.0
0Possession0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.7 0.7

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet

47%

Elche clean sheet

19%

Shots

League average 12.5

Deportivo La Coruna
Elche10.2

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Z. Eddahchouri

Deportivo La Coruna

39%

Shots

Rafa Mir

Elche

2.6

Deportivo La Coruna · on target

Z. Eddahchouri

Deportivo La Coruna

1.2

Elche · on target

Rafa Mir

Elche

1.5

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Elche

Away
0.42
pts/game
1
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 33 of 38
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Deportivo La Coruna · Recent form

  • L0-1Real Madrid
  • W1-0Genoa
  • D1-1Fiorentina
  • D2-2FC St. Pauli
  • W1-0Lugo

Elche · Recent form

  • D2-2Cordoba
  • D2-2Al Ain
  • D0-0Johor Darul Takzim FC
  • W2-1Kaizer Chiefs
  • D1-1Girona

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

Golazo's model makes Deportivo La Coruna the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

More La Liga matches

All La Liga fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.