Match preview
Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche prediction
Deportivo La Coruna
ElcheDeportivo La Coruna
Elche
15 in the table · 43 pts from 38
Mon, Aug 17, 03:00 PM
Estadio Municipal de Riazor
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Deportivo La Coruna the more likely winner at 58%, against 15% for Elche and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Deportivo La Coruna win
58%
Draw
26%
Elche win
15%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.7
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet
47%
Elche clean sheet
19%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Z. Eddahchouri
Deportivo La Coruna
39%
Shots
Rafa Mir
Elche
2.6
Deportivo La Coruna · on target
Z. Eddahchouri
Deportivo La Coruna
1.2
Elche · on target
Rafa Mir
Elche
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Elche
Away- 0.42
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 33 of 38
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Deportivo La Coruna · Recent form
- L0-1Real Madrid
- W1-0Genoa
- D1-1Fiorentina
- D2-2FC St. Pauli
- W1-0Lugo
Elche · Recent form
- D2-2Cordoba
- D2-2Al Ain
- D0-0Johor Darul Takzim FC
- W2-1Kaizer Chiefs
- D1-1Girona
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
Golazo's model makes Deportivo La Coruna the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.