Match preview
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
13 in the table · 43 pts from 38
Rayo Vallecano
8 in the table · 50 pts from 38
Sat, Aug 15, 03:30 PM
Sevilla
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Sevilla 36%, the draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 34%. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Sevilla have scored in 28 of 38 league games this season, Rayo Vallecano in 26 of 38.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sevilla win
36%
Draw
31%
Rayo Vallecano win
34%
What our model expects
SevillaPer gameRayo VallecanoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.2
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Sevilla clean sheet
31%
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet
30%
What stands out
Total goals 2.4
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Sevilla 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded · Rayo Vallecano 1.2 / 1.2 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Alfon González
Sevilla
26%
Shots
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
1.9
Sevilla · on target
Alfon González
Sevilla
1.2
Rayo Vallecano · on target
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sevilla
At home- 1.32
- pts/game
- 1.26
- scored
- 1.32
- conceded
- Scored in 28 of 38
- Clean sheet in 16%
When their goals arrive
Rayo Vallecano
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0.89
- scored
- 1.53
- conceded
- Scored in 26 of 38
- Clean sheet in 21%
When their goals arrive
Sevilla · Recent form
- L1-2Bayer Leverkusen
- W1-0Utrecht
- W2-1NEC Nijmegen
- W2-1AD Ceuta FC
- D0-0Cordoba
Rayo Vallecano · Recent form
- L0-3Ipswich
- W3-2Charleroi
- L1-2Feyenoord
- L1-2Heart Of Midlothian
- L0-1Crystal Palace
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Sevilla 36%, the draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
More La Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.