Match preview
Alaves vs Getafe prediction
Alaves
Getafe
Alaves
14 in the table · 43 pts from 38
Getafe
7 in the table · 51 pts from 38
Sat, Aug 15, 01:30 PM
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Alaves the more likely winner at 36%, against 30% for Getafe and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.9 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 39%. Behind that: Alaves have scored in 28 of 38 league games this season, Getafe in 21 of 38.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Alaves win
36%
Draw
34%
Getafe win
30%
What our model expects
AlavesPer gameGetafeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 0.9
Total goals 1.9
Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Over 1.5 goals
58%
Alaves clean sheet
41%
Getafe clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Total goals 1.9
29% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Alaves 1.5 scored / 1.5 conceded · Getafe 0.9 / 0.9 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Toni Martínez
Alaves
23%
Shots
Toni Martínez
Alaves
2.3
Alaves · on target
Toni Martínez
Alaves
1.1
Getafe · on target
Borja Mayoral
Getafe
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Alaves
At home- 1.42
- pts/game
- 1.32
- scored
- 1.32
- conceded
- Scored in 28 of 38
- Clean sheet in 16%
When their goals arrive
Getafe
Away- 1.26
- pts/game
- 0.74
- scored
- 1.16
- conceded
- Scored in 21 of 38
- Clean sheet in 32%
When their goals arrive
Alaves · Recent form
- D1-1Racing Santander
- W3-0Castellón
- W1-0Girona
- D1-1Eibar
- L1-2Rayo Vallecano
Getafe · Recent form
- D1-1Tottenham
- L0-1Monaco
- L1-4Atletico Madrid
- D0-0Valladolid
- W2-1Tenerife
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Alaves vs Getafe?
Golazo's model makes Alaves the more likely winner at 36%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Alaves vs Getafe?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 16%. The model projects 1.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Getafe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
More La Liga matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.