Match preview
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv prediction
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
5 in the table · 8 pts from 4
Lokomotiv
12 in the table · 3 pts from 4
Sat, Aug 22, 01:15 PM
VEB Arena, Moscow
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lokomotiv the more likely winner at 43%, against 22% for CSKA Moscow and 35% for the draw. It projects 1.8 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: CSKA Moscow have scored in 3 of 4 league games this season, Lokomotiv in 3 of 4.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
CSKA Moscow win
22%
Draw
35%
Lokomotiv win
43%
What our model expects
CSKA MoscowPer gameLokomotivBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.7 – 1.1
Total goals 1.8
Both teams score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Over 1.5 goals
55%
CSKA Moscow clean sheet
34%
Lokomotiv clean sheet
49%
What stands out
Total goals 1.8
33% below a typical match · League average 2.7
CSKA Moscow 1.0 scored / 1.2 conceded · Lokomotiv 1.3 / 0.9 per game
Fouls 24.1
15% above a typical match · League average 21
CSKA Moscow 11.0 + Lokomotiv 13.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Glebov
CSKA Moscow
13%
Shots
M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
1.4
CSKA Moscow · on target
M. Kislyak
CSKA Moscow
0.5
Lokomotiv · on target
A. Siljanov
Lokomotiv
0.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
CSKA Moscow
At home- Scored in 3 of 4
When their goals arrive
Lokomotiv
Away- 0.5
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 4
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
CSKA Moscow · Recent form
- L0-1Akron
- W1-0Fakel
- D0-0FC Rostov
- D1-1Lokomotiv
- D1-1Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv · Recent form
- L0-1FC Rostov
- D1-1FC Orenburg
- D0-0Akron
- D1-1CSKA Moscow
- L1-2Dinamo Makhachkala
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Golazo's model makes Lokomotiv the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 35%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 18%. The model projects 1.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.