Match preview
Udinese vs Como prediction
Udinese
Como
Udinese
10 in the table · 50 pts from 38
Como
4 in the table · 71 pts from 38
Sat, Aug 22, 12:30 PM
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Como the more likely winner at 50%, against 22% for Udinese and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Udinese have scored in 27 of 38 league games this season, Como in 29 of 38.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Udinese win
22%
Draw
28%
Como win
50%
What our model expects
UdinesePer gameComoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.5
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Udinese clean sheet
22%
Como clean sheet
39%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Douvikas
Como
31%
Shots
N. Paz
Como
2.5
Como · on target
N. Paz
Como
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Udinese
At home- 1.21
- pts/game
- 0.95
- scored
- 1.11
- conceded
- Scored in 27 of 38
- Clean sheet in 32%
When their goals arrive
Como
Away- 1.84
- pts/game
- 1.58
- scored
- 0.74
- conceded
- Scored in 29 of 38
- Clean sheet in 47%
When their goals arrive
Udinese · Recent form
- W1-0Padova
- W1-0Barcelona
- W1-0Nottingham Forest
- L0-1Trabzonspor
- D3-3FSV Mainz 05
Como · Recent form
- D0-0Liverpool
- D1-1Arsenal
- W3-2Famalicao
- D1-1Villarreal
- W3-1Al Ula
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Udinese vs Como?
Golazo's model makes Como the more likely winner at 50%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Udinese vs Como?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Como?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
More Serie A matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.