Match preview
RB Bragantino vs Gremio prediction
RB Bragantino
Gremio
RB Bragantino
7 in the table · 32 pts from 22
Gremio
15 in the table · 25 pts from 22
Sun, Aug 23, 03:00 PM
Brasileirão
The short answer
Golazo's model makes RB Bragantino the more likely winner at 48%, against 23% for Gremio and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: RB Bragantino have scored in 16 of 22 league games this season, Gremio in 15 of 22.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
RB Bragantino win
48%
Draw
29%
Gremio win
23%
What our model expects
RB BragantinoPer gameGremioNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.9
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
RB Bragantino clean sheet
40%
Gremio clean sheet
24%
What stands out
Cards 5.4
19% above a typical match · League average 4.5
RB Bragantino 2.6 + Gremio 2.8 per game
Total goals 2.3
13% below a typical match · League average 2.7
RB Bragantino 1.3 scored / 0.9 conceded · Gremio 1.5 / 1.3 per game
Offsides 2.9
17% below a typical match · League average 3.5
RB Bragantino 1.4 + Gremio 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
23%
Shots
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
2.6
RB Bragantino · on target
Davi Gomes
RB Bragantino
1.1
Gremio · on target
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
RB Bragantino
At home- 1.55
- pts/game
- 1.45
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 22
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Gremio
Away- 0.36
- pts/game
- 0.55
- scored
- 1.55
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 22
- Clean sheet in 18%
When their goals arrive
RB Bragantino · Recent form
- D1-1Atletico Paranaense
- L0-1Atletico-MG
- L0-2Corinthians
- W1-0Sporting Cristal
- D0-0Coritiba
Gremio · Recent form
- L0-3Atletico-MG
- W2-1Sao Paulo
- W1-0Mirassol
- D1-1Mirassol
- L0-1Bolívar
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Golazo's model makes RB Bragantino the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.