Match preview
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin: projection vs result
Cracovia Krakow
15 in the table · 1 pts from 2
Pogon Szczecin
7 in the table · 3 pts from 2
0–2
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Cracovia Krakow the more likely winner at 55%, against 16% for Pogon Szczecin and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 38%. It finished Cracovia Krakow 0–2 Pogon Szczecin.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Cracovia Krakow win
55%
Draw
29%
Pogon Szczecin win
16%
What we said, and what happened
3 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.1Actual 2Called
- Both teams scoreProjected 38%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 35%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.7
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Cracovia Krakow clean sheet
52%
Pogon Szczecin clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
22% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Cracovia Krakow 1.2 scored / 1.0 conceded · Pogon Szczecin 0.9 / 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Mukairu
Pogon Szczecin
14%
Shots
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Cracovia Krakow
1.8
Cracovia Krakow · on target
Kahveh Zahiroleslam
Cracovia Krakow
0.6
Pogon Szczecin · on target
P. Mukairu
Pogon Szczecin
0.7
Cracovia Krakow · Recent form
- L0-2Pogon Szczecin
- D0-0Lech Poznan
- W1-0Sevilla
- W2-0Pardubice
- W3-1Başakşehir
Pogon Szczecin · Recent form
- W2-0Cracovia Krakow
- L0-1Legia Warszawa
- L0-1Sturm Graz
- L0-4Fenerbahçe
- W2-1Chrobry Głogów
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
Golazo's model makes Cracovia Krakow the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 16%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 38%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
More Ekstraklasa matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.