Match preview
Jeju United FC vs Incheon United: projection vs result
Jeju United FC
7 in the table · 28 pts from 21
Incheon United
6 in the table · 29 pts from 21
3–3
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Jeju United FC the more likely winner at 46%, against 29% for Incheon United and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. It finished Jeju United FC 3–3 Incheon United.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Jeju United FC win
46%
Draw
25%
Incheon United win
29%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.1Actual 6Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 63%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 61%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.4
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Jeju United FC clean sheet
25%
Incheon United clean sheet
17%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
16% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Jeju United FC 1.7 scored / 1.6 conceded · Incheon United 1.2 / 1.2 per game
match.offsides 4
13% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Jeju United FC 1.8 + Incheon United 2.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Mugoša
Incheon United
39%
Shots
S. Mugoša
Incheon United
2.1
Jeju United FC · on target
Emerson Negueba
Jeju United FC
0.9
Incheon United · on target
S. Mugoša
Incheon United
1
Jeju United FC · Recent form
- L1-2Bayern München
- D3-3Incheon United
- D3-3Hwaseong
- W2-1Gwangju FC
- D1-1Gangwon FC
Incheon United · Recent form
- D3-3Jeju United FC
- L0-1Gimpo Citizen
- D1-1Bucheon FC 1995
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC
- W1-0Jeonbuk Motors
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?
Golazo's model makes Jeju United FC the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
More K League 1 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.