Match preview
Coritiba vs Corinthians prediction
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
10 in the table · 31 pts from 23
Corinthians
9 in the table · 32 pts from 23
Sun, Aug 23, 06:30 PM
Curitiba
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Coritiba 35%, the draw 32%, Corinthians 33%. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Coritiba have scored in 16 of 23 league games this season, Corinthians in 17 of 23.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Coritiba win
35%
Draw
32%
Corinthians win
33%
What our model expects
CoritibaPer gameCorinthiansNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Coritiba clean sheet
35%
Corinthians clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Coritiba 1.1 scored / 1.3 conceded · Corinthians 1.3 / 1.1 per game
Offsides 3
16% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Coritiba 1.3 + Corinthians 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Breno Lopes
Coritiba
26%
Shots
Pedro Raul
Corinthians
1.9
Coritiba · on target
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
0.7
Corinthians · on target
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Coritiba
At home- 1.36
- pts/game
- 1.18
- scored
- 1.18
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 23
- Clean sheet in 18%
When their goals arrive
Corinthians
Away- 1.27
- pts/game
- 1.09
- scored
- 1.09
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 23
- Clean sheet in 36%
When their goals arrive
Coritiba · Recent form
- D1-1Sao Paulo
- W2-1Chapecoense-sc
- L0-1Cruzeiro
- D0-0RB Bragantino
- L1-3Palmeiras
Corinthians · Recent form
- L1-2Cruzeiro
- D0-0Rosario Central
- W2-0RB Bragantino
- W2-1Internacional
- L0-2Internacional
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Coritiba 35%, the draw 32%, Corinthians 33%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Coritiba vs Corinthians?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Brasileirão matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.