Match preview
Carrarese vs Mantova prediction
Carrarese
Mantova
Carrarese
12 in the table · 44 pts from 38
Mantova
9 in the table · 46 pts from 38
Sat, Aug 22, 01:00 PM
Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Carrarese the more likely winner at 46%, against 27% for Mantova and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Carrarese have scored in 24 of 38 league games this season, Mantova in 26 of 38.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Carrarese win
46%
Draw
27%
Mantova win
27%
What our model expects
CarraresePer gameMantovaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.2
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Carrarese clean sheet
31%
Mantova clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Carrarese 2.0 + Mantova 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Carrarese
At home- 1.53
- pts/game
- 1.37
- scored
- 0.89
- conceded
- Scored in 24 of 38
- Clean sheet in 53%
When their goals arrive
Mantova
Away- 0.84
- pts/game
- 0.89
- scored
- 1.47
- conceded
- Scored in 26 of 38
- Clean sheet in 26%
When their goals arrive
Carrarese · Recent form
- L0-1Torino
- W1-0Virtus Entella
- L0-2Napoli
- L1-2Virtus Entella
- D0-0Cesena
Mantova · Recent form
- W2-0Lazio
- L0-1Athletic Carpi
- W3-1Legnago Salus
- W6-2Alcione
- W7-0Ambrosiana
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Carrarese vs Mantova?
Golazo's model makes Carrarese the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Carrarese vs Mantova?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Mantova?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
More Serie B matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.