Match preview

Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro prediction

Vicenza Virtus
v
Catanzaro
562124
Vicenza VirtusDrawCatanzaro
Goals expectedBoth teams score72%Over 2.5 goals75%Total goals3.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Vicenza Virtus

Catanzaro

5 in the table · 59 pts from 38

Fri, Aug 21, 02:30 PM

Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Vicenza Virtus the more likely winner at 56%, against 24% for Catanzaro and 21% for the draw. It projects 3.9 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 72%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Vicenza Virtus win

56%

Draw

21%

Catanzaro win

24%

Most likely scorelines219%118%317%

What our model expects

Vicenza VirtusPer gameCatanzaro
DDLWWLast 5DWWWL
0.0Shots12.2
2.4Expected goals1.5
0.0Corners0.0
0.0Cards0.0
0Possession0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.4 1.5

Total goals 3.9

Both teams score

72%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Over 1.5 goals

91%

Vicenza Virtus clean sheet

21%

Catanzaro clean sheet

9%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.9

    46% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Vicenza Virtus 1.9 scored / 1.2 conceded · Catanzaro 1.9 / 1.5 per game

Shots

League average 12.5

Vicenza Virtus
Catanzaro12.2

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

F. Pittarello

Catanzaro

24%

Shots

F. Pittarello

Catanzaro

2.1

Catanzaro · on target

F. Pittarello

Catanzaro

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Catanzaro

Away
1.29
pts/game
1.43
scored
1.43
conceded
  • Scored in 35 of 43
  • Clean sheet in 19%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Vicenza Virtus · Recent form

  • D1-1Catania
  • D2-2Genoa
  • L1-4Benevento
  • W5-2Arezzo
  • W6-1Triestina

Catanzaro · Recent form

  • D2-2Sudtirol
  • W3-0Giugliano
  • W3-1Paradiso
  • W2-0Monza
  • L0-2Monza

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

Golazo's model makes Vicenza Virtus the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 72%, and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.