Match preview
Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro prediction
Vicenza Virtus
CatanzaroVicenza Virtus
Catanzaro
5 in the table · 59 pts from 38
Fri, Aug 21, 02:30 PM
Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vicenza Virtus the more likely winner at 56%, against 24% for Catanzaro and 21% for the draw. It projects 3.9 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 72%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vicenza Virtus win
56%
Draw
21%
Catanzaro win
24%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.4 – 1.5
Total goals 3.9
Both teams score
72%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Vicenza Virtus clean sheet
21%
Catanzaro clean sheet
9%
What stands out
Total goals 3.9
46% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Vicenza Virtus 1.9 scored / 1.2 conceded · Catanzaro 1.9 / 1.5 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Pittarello
Catanzaro
24%
Shots
F. Pittarello
Catanzaro
2.1
Catanzaro · on target
F. Pittarello
Catanzaro
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Catanzaro
Away- 1.29
- pts/game
- 1.43
- scored
- 1.43
- conceded
- Scored in 35 of 43
- Clean sheet in 19%
When their goals arrive
Vicenza Virtus · Recent form
- D1-1Catania
- D2-2Genoa
- L1-4Benevento
- W5-2Arezzo
- W6-1Triestina
Catanzaro · Recent form
- D2-2Sudtirol
- W3-0Giugliano
- W3-1Paradiso
- W2-0Monza
- L0-2Monza
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?
Golazo's model makes Vicenza Virtus the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 72%, and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.