Match preview
Viborg vs Aarhus prediction
Viborg
AarhusViborg
6 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Aarhus
8 in the table · 2 pts from 2
Fri, Aug 14, 01:00 PM
Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 46%, against 25% for Viborg and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: Viborg have scored in 1 of 3 league games this season, Aarhus in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Viborg win
25%
Draw
29%
Aarhus win
46%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.4
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Viborg clean sheet
24%
Aarhus clean sheet
36%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Bogere
Aarhus
18%
Shots
C. Nouck
Viborg
1.7
Viborg · on target
S. Kuzmić
Viborg
0.5
Aarhus · on target
J. Jønsson
Aarhus
0.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Viborg
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Aarhus
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Viborg · Recent form
- D0-0Sonderjyske
- L0-1Brondby
- W1-0Odense
- W1-0Aarhus Fremad
- L1-2FC Copenhagen
Aarhus · Recent form
- W2-1Sabah FA
- D2-2Lyngby
- W3-0Lech Poznan
- D1-1Brondby
- L1-4Lech Poznan
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Viborg vs Aarhus?
Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Viborg vs Aarhus?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Viborg vs Aarhus?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.