Match preview

Viborg vs Aarhus prediction

Viborg
v
Aarhus
252946
ViborgDrawAarhus
Goals expectedBoth teams score50%Over 2.5 goals45%Total goals2.5
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Viborg

6 in the table · 4 pts from 3

Aarhus

8 in the table · 2 pts from 2

Fri, Aug 14, 01:00 PM

Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 46%, against 25% for Viborg and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: Viborg have scored in 1 of 3 league games this season, Aarhus in 2 of 2.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Viborg win

25%

Draw

29%

Aarhus win

46%

Most likely scorelines1114%0111%0010%

What our model expects

ViborgPer gameAarhus
DLWWLLast 5WDWDL
0.0Conceded2.0
3.00Points per game1.00
1.0Scored2.0
1.0Expected goals1.4
13.7Shots11.4
2.0Cards2.3
5.9Corners5.2
51Possession49

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1 1.4

Total goals 2.5

Both teams score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Over 1.5 goals

72%

Viborg clean sheet

24%

Aarhus clean sheet

36%

Corners

League average 5

Viborg5.9
Aarhus5.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Viborg2
Aarhus2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

Viborg13.7
Aarhus11.4

Possession

Viborg51
Aarhus49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

J. Bogere

Aarhus

18%

Shots

C. Nouck

Viborg

1.7

Viborg · on target

S. Kuzmić

Viborg

0.5

Aarhus · on target

J. Jønsson

Aarhus

0.5

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Viborg

At home
3
pts/game
1
scored
0
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 3
  • Clean sheet in 100%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Aarhus

Away
1
pts/game
2
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Viborg · Recent form

  • D0-0Sonderjyske
  • L0-1Brondby
  • W1-0Odense
  • W1-0Aarhus Fremad
  • L1-2FC Copenhagen

Aarhus · Recent form

  • W2-1Sabah FA
  • D2-2Lyngby
  • W3-0Lech Poznan
  • D1-1Brondby
  • L1-4Lech Poznan

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Viborg vs Aarhus?

Golazo's model makes Aarhus the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Viborg vs Aarhus?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Viborg vs Aarhus?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

More Danish Superliga matches

All Danish Superliga fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.