Match preview

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna: projection vs result

Wolfsberger AC

1 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Austria Vienna

12 in the table · 0 pts from 1

30

Final

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Wolfsberger AC the more likely winner at 66%, against 15% for Austria Vienna and 19% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Wolfsberger AC have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Austria Vienna in 0 of 1. It finished Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria Vienna.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Wolfsberger AC win

66%

Draw

19%

Austria Vienna win

15%

Most likely scorelines219%118%208%

What we said, and what happened

1 of 3 called correctly

Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.

  • Total goalsProjected 3.6Actual 3Missed
  • Both teams scoreProjected 64%Actual NoMissed
  • Over 2.5 goalsProjected 70%Actual YesCalled

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.5 1.2

Total goals 3.6

Both teams score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

Over 1.5 goals

89%

Wolfsberger AC clean sheet

32%

Austria Vienna clean sheet

8%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.6

    35% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Wolfsberger AC 2.2 scored / 1.0 conceded · Austria Vienna 1.7 / 1.4 per game

  • match.offsides 4.3

    21% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Wolfsberger AC 2.0 + Austria Vienna 2.3 per game

  • Cards 3.9

    14% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Wolfsberger AC 2.0 + Austria Vienna 1.9 per game

Corners

League average 5

Wolfsberger AC5.4
Austria Vienna4.2

Cards

League average 2.25

Wolfsberger AC2
Austria Vienna1.9

Shots

League average 12.5

Wolfsberger AC12.2
Austria Vienna11.3

Possession

Wolfsberger AC50
Austria Vienna50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

F. Wustinger

Austria Vienna

11%

Shots

Matteo Schablas

Austria Vienna

1.2

Austria Vienna · on target

Matteo Schablas

Austria Vienna

0.7

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Wolfsberger AC

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Austria Vienna

Away
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Wolfsberger AC · Recent form

  • W3-0Austria Vienna
  • W5-1Lauterach
  • W4-0Velden
  • W6-1SV Kapfenberg
  • D1-1Hradec Králové

Austria Vienna · Recent form

  • W2-1Beitar Jerusalem
  • L0-3Wolfsberger AC
  • W3-1FK Liepaja
  • W5-0Wiener SC
  • W2-0FK Liepaja

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna?

Golazo's model makes Wolfsberger AC the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

More Austrian Bundesliga matches

All Austrian Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.