Match preview
Waterford vs Shelbourne: projection vs result
Waterford
9 in the table · 25 pts from 26
Shelbourne
5 in the table · 34 pts from 25
1–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Waterford the more likely winner at 52%, against 24% for Shelbourne and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. It finished Waterford 1–0 Shelbourne.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Waterford win
52%
Draw
24%
Shelbourne win
24%
What we said, and what happened
0 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.2Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 62%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 62%Actual NoMissed
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.3
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Waterford clean sheet
28%
Shelbourne clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
18% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Waterford 1.6 scored / 1.1 conceded · Shelbourne 1.6 / 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. Lonergan
Waterford
40%
Shots
T. Lonergan
Waterford
2.1
Waterford · on target
T. Lonergan
Waterford
1.1
Shelbourne · on target
H. Wood
Shelbourne
0.9
Waterford · Recent form
- W1-0Shelbourne
- D0-0Galway United
- W2-1Cobh Ramblers
- D1-1St Patrick's Athl.
- W4-2Derry City
Shelbourne · Recent form
- L0-1Waterford
- L1-2Kalju Nomme
- W5-2Kalju Nomme
- D2-2Kerry
- D1-1Celtic
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Waterford vs Shelbourne?
Golazo's model makes Waterford the more likely winner at 52%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Waterford vs Shelbourne?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Waterford vs Shelbourne?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
More League of Ireland matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.