Match preview

Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem prediction

Union St. Gilloise
v
Zulte Waregem
532027
Union St. GilloiseDrawZulte Waregem
Goals expectedBoth teams score76%Over 2.5 goals79%Total goals4.2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Union St. Gilloise

1 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Zulte Waregem

7 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 15, 10:00 AM

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Union St. Gilloise the more likely winner at 53%, against 27% for Zulte Waregem and 20% for the draw. It projects 4.2 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%, and puts both teams scoring at 76%. Behind that: Union St. Gilloise have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Zulte Waregem in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Union St. Gilloise win

53%

Draw

20%

Zulte Waregem win

27%

Most likely scorelines218%117%227%

What our model expects

Union St. GilloisePer gameZulte Waregem
WDDWWLast 5WDWDW
2.5Expected goals1.8
2.7Cards2.0
15.2Shots11.8
5.1Corners4.3
51Possession49
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.5 1.8

Total goals 4.2

Both teams score

76%

Over 2.5 goals

79%

Over 1.5 goals

93%

Union St. Gilloise clean sheet

17%

Zulte Waregem clean sheet

9%

What stands out

  • Total goals 4.2

    56% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Union St. Gilloise 2.3 scored / 1.3 conceded · Zulte Waregem 2.1 / 1.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

Union St. Gilloise5.1
Zulte Waregem4.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Union St. Gilloise2.7
Zulte Waregem2

Shots

League average 12.5

Union St. Gilloise15.2
Zulte Waregem11.8

Possession

Union St. Gilloise51
Zulte Waregem49

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Union St. Gilloise

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Zulte Waregem

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Union St. Gilloise · Recent form

  • W5-1KVC Westerlo
  • D3-3Bodo/Glimt
  • D1-1Club Brugge KV
  • W2-1Lille
  • W4-0Patro Eisden

Zulte Waregem · Recent form

  • W2-1Genk
  • D2-2Beerschot VA
  • W3-2Sparta Rotterdam
  • D1-1AZ Alkmaar
  • W2-1Kryvbas KR

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?

Golazo's model makes Union St. Gilloise the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 20%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 8%. The model projects 4.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 76%, and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

More Jupiler Pro League matches

All Jupiler Pro League fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.