Match preview
ST Johnstone vs Celtic prediction
ST Johnstone
CelticST Johnstone
6 in the table · 3 pts from 2
Celtic
1 in the table · 6 pts from 2
Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM
McDiarmid Park, Perth
The short answer
Golazo's model makes ST Johnstone the more likely winner at 55%, against 21% for Celtic and 24% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: ST Johnstone have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Celtic in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
ST Johnstone win
55%
Draw
24%
Celtic win
21%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Total goals 3
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
ST Johnstone clean sheet
33%
Celtic clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Cards 3.3
27% below a typical match · League average 4.5
ST Johnstone 1.6 + Celtic 1.7 per game
Offsides 2.9
17% below a typical match · League average 3.5
ST Johnstone 1.8 + Celtic 1.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Høgh
Celtic
18%
Shots
K. Høgh
Celtic
2.2
ST Johnstone · on target
J. Fowler
ST Johnstone
0.4
Celtic · on target
K. Høgh
Celtic
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
ST Johnstone
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 4
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Celtic
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 5
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
ST Johnstone · Recent form
- L0-1ST Mirren
- W4-3Kilmarnock
- D1-1East Fife
- L0-1Inverness CT
- W3-0Morton
Celtic · Recent form
- W4-0Dundee Utd
- W5-1Kilmarnock
- W1-0Dundee
- D2-2AC Milan
- D1-1Middlesbrough
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
Golazo's model makes ST Johnstone the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
More Scottish Premiership matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.