Match preview

ST Johnstone vs Celtic prediction

ST Johnstone
v
Celtic
552421
ST JohnstoneDrawCeltic
Goals expectedBoth teams score58%Over 2.5 goals58%Total goals3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

ST Johnstone

6 in the table · 3 pts from 2

Celtic

1 in the table · 6 pts from 2

Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 AM

McDiarmid Park, Perth

The short answer

Golazo's model makes ST Johnstone the more likely winner at 55%, against 21% for Celtic and 24% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: ST Johnstone have scored in 1 of 2 league games this season, Celtic in 2 of 2.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

ST Johnstone win

55%

Draw

24%

Celtic win

21%

Most likely scorelines1111%2110%209%

What our model expects

ST JohnstonePer gameCeltic
LWDLWLast 5WWWDD
3.0Conceded1.0
1.9Expected goals1.1
12.8Shots16.3
4.0Scored5.0
1.6Cards1.7
5.2Corners4.9
49Possession51
3.00Points per game3.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.9 1.1

Total goals 3

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Over 1.5 goals

81%

ST Johnstone clean sheet

33%

Celtic clean sheet

15%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.3

    27% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    ST Johnstone 1.6 + Celtic 1.7 per game

  • Offsides 2.9

    17% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    ST Johnstone 1.8 + Celtic 1.2 per game

Corners

League average 5

ST Johnstone5.2
Celtic4.9

Cards

League average 2.25

ST Johnstone1.6
Celtic1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

ST Johnstone12.8
Celtic16.3

Possession

ST Johnstone49
Celtic51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

K. Høgh

Celtic

18%

Shots

K. Høgh

Celtic

2.2

ST Johnstone · on target

J. Fowler

ST Johnstone

0.4

Celtic · on target

K. Høgh

Celtic

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

ST Johnstone

At home
3
pts/game
4
scored
3
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Celtic

Away
3
pts/game
5
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

ST Johnstone · Recent form

  • L0-1ST Mirren
  • W4-3Kilmarnock
  • D1-1East Fife
  • L0-1Inverness CT
  • W3-0Morton

Celtic · Recent form

  • W4-0Dundee Utd
  • W5-1Kilmarnock
  • W1-0Dundee
  • D2-2AC Milan
  • D1-1Middlesbrough

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Celtic?

Golazo's model makes ST Johnstone the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Celtic?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

More Scottish Premiership matches

All Scottish Premiership fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.