Match preview

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1. FC Nürnberg

292545

SpVgg Greuther FürthDraw1. FC Nürnberg

Goals expectedBoth teams score63%Over 2.5 goals60%Total goals3.1

Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

9 in the table · 1 pts from 1

1. FC Nürnberg

2 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 15, 07:00 AM

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

The short answer

Golazo's model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the more likely winner at 45%, against 29% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, 1. FC Nürnberg in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win

29%

Draw

25%

1. FC Nürnberg win

45%

Most likely scorelines1–112%1–29%2–17%

What our model expects

SpVgg Greuther FürthPer game1. FC Nürnberg

DWWWLLast 5WWDWW

1.4Expected goals1.7

1.5Cards1.8

14.2Shots12.8

5.4Corners5.0

49Possession51

0.0Scored0.0

0.0Conceded0.0

0.00Points per game0.00

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 – 1.7

Total goals 3.1

Both teams score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet

17%

1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet

25%

What stands out

Cards 3.3
27% below a typical match · League average 4.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.5 + 1. FC Nürnberg 1.8 per game
Total goals 3.1
16% above a typical match · League average 2.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.4 scored / 1.1 conceded · 1. FC Nürnberg 2.3 / 1.2 per game

Corners

League average 5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth5.4

1. FC Nürnberg5

Cards

League average 2.25

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.5

1. FC Nürnberg1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth14.2

1. FC Nürnberg12.8

Possession

SpVgg Greuther Fürth49

1. FC Nürnberg51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Telalović

1. FC Nürnberg

27%

Shots

S. Telalović

1. FC Nürnberg

1.8

1. FC Nürnberg · on target

S. Telalović

1. FC Nürnberg

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

At home

Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

1. FC Nürnberg

Away

Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Recent form

D1-1FC St. Pauli
W3-2FC Zurich
W3-1Eintracht Bamberg
W3-0Eltersdorf
L0-1Bayreuth

1. FC Nürnberg · Recent form

W3-0Dynamo Dresden
W2-1Oviedo
D2-2Palermo
W3-2Waldhof Mannheim
W5-1Ansbach

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full record How it works

Common questions

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Golazo's model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

More 2. Bundesliga matches

All 2. Bundesliga fixtures and the table →

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.