Match preview
PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen prediction
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
6 in the table · 4 pts from 2
Groningen
2 in the table · 6 pts from 2
Sun, Aug 23, 08:30 AM
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The short answer
Golazo's model makes PSV Eindhoven the more likely winner at 61%, against 21% for Groningen and 18% for the draw. It projects 4.7 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%, and puts both teams scoring at 79%. Behind that: PSV Eindhoven have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, Groningen in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
PSV Eindhoven win
61%
Draw
18%
Groningen win
21%
What our model expects
PSV EindhovenPer gameGroningenBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.9 – 1.8
Total goals 4.7
Both teams score
79%
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet
17%
Groningen clean sheet
5%
What stands out
Total goals 4.7
74% above a typical match · League average 2.7
PSV Eindhoven 2.5 scored / 1.7 conceded · Groningen 1.5 / 1.4 per game
Cards 3.7
19% below a typical match · League average 4.5
PSV Eindhoven 2.0 + Groningen 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
T. van Bergen
Groningen
31%
Shots
T. van Bergen
Groningen
2
PSV Eindhoven · on target
R. Pepi
PSV Eindhoven
0.7
Groningen · on target
T. van Bergen
Groningen
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
PSV Eindhoven
At home- 1
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Groningen
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 4
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
PSV Eindhoven · Recent form
- W2-1Excelsior
- D2-2Fortuna Sittard
- L0-4AZ Alkmaar
- W3-0FC Eindhoven
- L1-3Villarreal
Groningen · Recent form
- W4-1ADO Den Haag
- W2-1Utrecht
- W1-0Valladolid
- D0-0Volos NFC
- L0-4FC Volendam
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?
Golazo's model makes PSV Eindhoven the more likely winner at 61%, with the draw at 18%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 7%. The model projects 4.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 79%, and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
More Eredivisie matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.