Match preview

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus
v
Atromitos
632612
Olympiakos PiraeusDrawAtromitos
Goals expectedBoth teams score38%Over 2.5 goals40%Total goals2.3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Olympiakos Piraeus

2 in the table · 58 pts from 26

Atromitos

9 in the table · 29 pts from 26

Sat, Aug 22, 02:30 PM

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 63%, against 12% for Atromitos and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 38%. Behind that: Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in 26 of 32 league games this season, Atromitos in 25 of 36.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Olympiakos Piraeus win

63%

Draw

26%

Atromitos win

12%

Most likely scorelines1016%2014%1111%

What our model expects

Olympiakos PiraeusPer gameAtromitos
LDLLLLast 5WWWLW
1.7Expected goals0.6
0.4Conceded1.1
2.13Points per game1.39
2.7Cards2.1
1.6Scored1.3
4.9Corners4.4
48Possession52
12.6Shots12.0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.7 0.6

Total goals 2.3

Both teams score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Over 1.5 goals

68%

Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet

55%

Atromitos clean sheet

19%

What stands out

  • Total goals 2.3

    15% below a typical match · League average 2.7

    Olympiakos Piraeus 1.1 scored / 1.0 conceded · Atromitos 1.7 / 1.1 per game

  • Fouls 24.9

    18% above a typical match · League average 21

    Olympiakos Piraeus 12.0 + Atromitos 12.9 per game

Corners

League average 5

Olympiakos Piraeus4.9
Atromitos4.4

Cards

League average 2.25

Olympiakos Piraeus2.7
Atromitos2.1

Shots

League average 12.5

Olympiakos Piraeus12.6
Atromitos12

Possession

Olympiakos Piraeus48
Atromitos52

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Baku

Atromitos

14%

Shots

D. Jubitana

Atromitos

1.7

Olympiakos Piraeus · on target

A. El Kaabi

Olympiakos Piraeus

0.6

Atromitos · on target

D. Jubitana

Atromitos

0.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Olympiakos Piraeus

At home
2.13
pts/game
1.63
scored
0.44
conceded
  • Scored in 26 of 32
  • Clean sheet in 63%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Atromitos

Away
1.39
pts/game
1.33
scored
1.11
conceded
  • Scored in 25 of 36
  • Clean sheet in 39%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Olympiakos Piraeus · Recent form

  • L1-2NEC Nijmegen
  • D0-0NEC Nijmegen
  • L2-3AZ Alkmaar
  • L0-3Antwerp
  • L0-1Ajax

Atromitos · Recent form

  • W3-1Pyrgos 1968
  • W1-0Aris
  • W6-0Panserraikos
  • L1-2Larisa
  • W3-0Kifisia

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?

Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 16%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 38%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

More Super League 1 matches

All Super League 1 fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos prediction, stats and preview | Golazo