Match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
AtromitosOlympiakos Piraeus
2 in the table · 58 pts from 26
Atromitos
9 in the table · 29 pts from 26
Sat, Aug 22, 02:30 PM
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 63%, against 12% for Atromitos and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 38%. Behind that: Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in 26 of 32 league games this season, Atromitos in 25 of 36.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Olympiakos Piraeus win
63%
Draw
26%
Atromitos win
12%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.6
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet
55%
Atromitos clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
15% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.1 scored / 1.0 conceded · Atromitos 1.7 / 1.1 per game
Fouls 24.9
18% above a typical match · League average 21
Olympiakos Piraeus 12.0 + Atromitos 12.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Baku
Atromitos
14%
Shots
D. Jubitana
Atromitos
1.7
Olympiakos Piraeus · on target
A. El Kaabi
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.6
Atromitos · on target
D. Jubitana
Atromitos
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Olympiakos Piraeus
At home- 2.13
- pts/game
- 1.63
- scored
- 0.44
- conceded
- Scored in 26 of 32
- Clean sheet in 63%
When their goals arrive
Atromitos
Away- 1.39
- pts/game
- 1.33
- scored
- 1.11
- conceded
- Scored in 25 of 36
- Clean sheet in 39%
When their goals arrive
Olympiakos Piraeus · Recent form
- L1-2NEC Nijmegen
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen
- L2-3AZ Alkmaar
- L0-3Antwerp
- L0-1Ajax
Atromitos · Recent form
- W3-1Pyrgos 1968
- W1-0Aris
- W6-0Panserraikos
- L1-2Larisa
- W3-0Kifisia
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
Golazo's model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 16%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 38%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Super League 1 matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.