Match preview

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew prediction

Nashville SC
v
Columbus Crew
662212
Nashville SCDrawColumbus Crew
Goals expectedBoth teams score49%Over 2.5 goals55%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Nashville SC

Columbus Crew

Sat, Aug 22, 08:30 PM

Geodis Park, Nashville

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Nashville SC the more likely winner at 66%, against 12% for Columbus Crew and 22% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 49%. Behind that: Nashville SC have scored in 15 of 19 league games this season, Columbus Crew in 16 of 19.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Nashville SC win

66%

Draw

22%

Columbus Crew win

12%

Most likely scorelines2012%1011%1110%

What our model expects

Nashville SCPer gameColumbus Crew
WLWLDLast 5LDWWD
2.80Points per game0.60
2.1Expected goals0.8
1.0Conceded2.2
2.9Scored1.5
2.1Cards1.8
4.9Corners5.3
11.8Shots12.5
49Possession51

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.1 0.8

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Nashville SC clean sheet

45%

Columbus Crew clean sheet

13%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.9

    14% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Nashville SC 2.1 + Columbus Crew 1.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Nashville SC4.9
Columbus Crew5.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Nashville SC2.1
Columbus Crew1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Nashville SC11.8
Columbus Crew12.5

Possession

Nashville SC49
Columbus Crew51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Surridge

Nashville SC

52%

Shots

S. Surridge

Nashville SC

2.1

Nashville SC · on target

S. Surridge

Nashville SC

1.3

Columbus Crew · on target

W. Abou Ali

Columbus Crew

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Nashville SC

At home
2.8
pts/game
2.9
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 30%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Columbus Crew

Away
0.6
pts/game
1.5
scored
2.2
conceded
  • Scored in 16 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Nashville SC · Recent form

  • W4-1Inter Miami
  • L1-2Monterrey
  • W4-1Atletico San Luis
  • L0-1Leon
  • D2-2DC United

Columbus Crew · Recent form

  • L1-3Charlotte
  • D1-1U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • W2-1CF Pachuca
  • W3-1Atlas
  • D2-2Inter Miami

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Golazo's model makes Nashville SC the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 49%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.