Match preview
Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction
Marseille
Strasbourg
Marseille
5 in the table · 59 pts from 34
Strasbourg
8 in the table · 53 pts from 34
Fri, Aug 21, 02:45 PM
Marseille
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Marseille the more likely winner at 48%, against 28% for Strasbourg and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: Marseille have scored in 26 of 34 league games this season, Strasbourg in 28 of 34.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Marseille win
48%
Draw
24%
Strasbourg win
28%
What our model expects
MarseillePer gameStrasbourgNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.4
Total goals 3.3
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Marseille clean sheet
24%
Strasbourg clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Total goals 3.3
23% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Marseille 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded · Strasbourg 1.4 / 2.1 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Greenwood
Marseille
51%
Shots
M. Greenwood
Marseille
2.8
Marseille · on target
M. Greenwood
Marseille
1.7
Strasbourg · on target
J. Panichelli
Strasbourg
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Marseille
At home- 2.18
- pts/game
- 2.41
- scored
- 1.18
- conceded
- Scored in 26 of 34
- Clean sheet in 29%
When their goals arrive
Strasbourg
Away- 1.35
- pts/game
- 1.65
- scored
- 1.65
- conceded
- Scored in 28 of 34
- Clean sheet in 12%
When their goals arrive
Marseille · Recent form
- L1-2Atletico Madrid
- W3-1Athletic Club
- W2-1Nimes
- L0-3Nice
- W3-1Rennes
Strasbourg · Recent form
- D1-1Newcastle
- L0-2SC Freiburg
- L2-5SV Elversberg
- L3-4Brighton
- L0-2Blackburn
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Marseille vs Strasbourg?
Golazo's model makes Marseille the more likely winner at 48%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Strasbourg?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Strasbourg?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.