Match preview
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers prediction
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
3 in the table · 34 pts from 20
Portland Timbers
10 in the table · 24 pts from 19
Sat, Aug 22, 10:30 PM
BMO Stadium, Los Angeles
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Los Angeles FC the more likely winner at 56%, against 20% for Portland Timbers and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 61%. Behind that: Los Angeles FC have scored in 17 of 20 league games this season, Portland Timbers in 15 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Los Angeles FC win
56%
Draw
23%
Portland Timbers win
20%
What our model expects
Los Angeles FCPer gamePortland TimbersNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2 – 1.2
Total goals 3.2
Both teams score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Los Angeles FC clean sheet
31%
Portland Timbers clean sheet
13%
What stands out
Total goals 3.2
18% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Los Angeles FC 1.4 scored / 1.3 conceded · Portland Timbers 1.9 / 1.8 per game
Offsides 4.1
17% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Los Angeles FC 2.2 + Portland Timbers 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
47%
Shots
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
2.4
Los Angeles FC · on target
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
1.3
Portland Timbers · on target
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Los Angeles FC
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.91
- conceded
- Scored in 17 of 20
- Clean sheet in 64%
When their goals arrive
Portland Timbers
Away- 0.7
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 19
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Los Angeles FC · Recent form
- L0-1San Diego
- D1-1Club Queretaro
- W1-0Toluca
- D1-1Guadalajara Chivas
- D1-1Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers · Recent form
- L1-2Chicago Fire
- W3-1Club Tijuana
- L1-3Club America
- W5-2Puebla
- W2-1Seattle Sounders
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
Golazo's model makes Los Angeles FC the more likely winner at 56%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
More MLS matches
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
- Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas CityAug 15
- Los Angeles FC vs San DiegoAug 15
- San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CityAug 15
- New York City FC vs Philadelphia UnionAug 16
- Chicago Fire vs Portland TimbersAug 16
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.