Match preview

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag prediction

GO Ahead Eagles
v
ADO Den Haag
302545
GO Ahead EaglesDrawADO Den Haag
Goals expectedBoth teams score64%Over 2.5 goals61%Total goals3.2
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

GO Ahead Eagles

3 in the table · 4 pts from 2

ADO Den Haag

16 in the table · 0 pts from 2

Sun, Aug 23, 06:15 AM

De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

The short answer

Golazo's model makes ADO Den Haag the more likely winner at 45%, against 30% for GO Ahead Eagles and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: GO Ahead Eagles have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, ADO Den Haag in 1 of 2.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

GO Ahead Eagles win

30%

Draw

25%

ADO Den Haag win

45%

Most likely scorelines1111%129%217%

What our model expects

GO Ahead EaglesPer gameADO Den Haag
DWWWLLast 5LLDWW
4.0Scored0.0
3.00Points per game0.00
1.0Conceded2.0
14.7Shots11.3
2.2Cards1.7
1.4Expected goals1.8
5.6Corners4.7
51Possession49

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.8

Total goals 3.2

Both teams score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

GO Ahead Eagles clean sheet

17%

ADO Den Haag clean sheet

24%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.2

    17% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    GO Ahead Eagles 1.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · ADO Den Haag 2.1 / 0.9 per game

  • Cards 3.9

    14% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    GO Ahead Eagles 2.2 + ADO Den Haag 1.7 per game

  • Offsides 2.7

    24% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    GO Ahead Eagles 1.3 + ADO Den Haag 1.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

GO Ahead Eagles5.6
ADO Den Haag4.7

Cards

League average 2.25

GO Ahead Eagles2.2
ADO Den Haag1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

GO Ahead Eagles14.7
ADO Den Haag11.3

Possession

GO Ahead Eagles51
ADO Den Haag49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Tengstedt

GO Ahead Eagles

18%

Shots

V. Edvardsen

GO Ahead Eagles

1.6

GO Ahead Eagles · on target

V. Edvardsen

GO Ahead Eagles

0.8

ADO Den Haag · on target

M. Waem

ADO Den Haag

0.4

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

GO Ahead Eagles

At home
3
pts/game
4
scored
1
conceded
  • Scored in 2 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

ADO Den Haag

Away
0
pts/game
0
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 1 of 2
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

GO Ahead Eagles · Recent form

  • D2-2Feyenoord
  • W4-1Willem II
  • W1-0Luton
  • W4-0OFI
  • L1-2Lommel United

ADO Den Haag · Recent form

  • L1-4Groningen
  • L0-2AZ Alkmaar
  • D0-0Asteras Tripolis
  • W4-0Lommel United
  • W3-2KV Mechelen

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?

Golazo's model makes ADO Den Haag the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

More Eredivisie matches

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.