Match preview
Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
3 in the table · 70 pts from 38
Botafogo
1 in the table · 79 pts from 38
Sun, Aug 30, 03:00 PM
Rio de Janeiro
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Flamengo 33%, the draw 30%, Botafogo 37%. It projects 2.5 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Flamengo win
33%
Draw
30%
Botafogo win
37%
What our model expects
FlamengoPer gameBotafogoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.3
Total goals 2.5
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Flamengo clean sheet
28%
Botafogo clean sheet
30%
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Pedro
Flamengo
36%
Shots
Igor Jesus
Botafogo
2.3
Flamengo · on target
Everton
Flamengo
1.2
Botafogo · on target
Igor Jesus
Botafogo
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Flamengo
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 1.58
- scored
- 1.11
- conceded
- Scored in 32 of 38
- Clean sheet in 21%
When their goals arrive
Flamengo · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
Botafogo · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Flamengo 33%, the draw 30%, Botafogo 37%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Botafogo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Botafogo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.