Match preview
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 prediction
FC Zurich
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
8 in the table · 3 pts from 3
FC Basel 1893
5 in the table · 6 pts from 3
Sat, Aug 22, 02:30 PM
Letzigrund Stadion
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: FC Zurich 40%, the draw 21%, FC Basel 1893 39%. It projects 4.5 goals in total, with 2-2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%, and puts both teams scoring at 80%. Behind that: FC Zurich have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, FC Basel 1893 in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Zurich win
40%
Draw
21%
FC Basel 1893 win
39%
What our model expects
FC ZurichPer gameFC Basel 1893Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.3 – 2.2
Total goals 4.5
Both teams score
80%
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
FC Zurich clean sheet
11%
FC Basel 1893 clean sheet
10%
What stands out
Total goals 4.5
66% above a typical match · League average 2.7
FC Zurich 1.4 scored / 2.0 conceded · FC Basel 1893 1.7 / 1.9 per game
Fouls 26.1
24% above a typical match · League average 21
FC Zurich 14.3 + FC Basel 1893 11.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Sow
FC Basel 1893
35%
Shots
A. Sow
FC Basel 1893
2.1
FC Zurich · on target
P. Keny
FC Zurich
0.6
FC Basel 1893 · on target
A. Sow
FC Basel 1893
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Zurich
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FC Basel 1893
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
FC Zurich · Recent form
- W2-1Tuggen
- L0-5FC Lugano
- W2-1Servette FC
- L1-2FC ST. Gallen
- L2-3SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Basel 1893 · Recent form
- L2-5Barcelona
- W6-1Courtételle
- W4-2FC Thun
- L0-1Lausanne
- W1-0Servette FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: FC Zurich 40%, the draw 21%, FC Basel 1893 39%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-2, at 7%. The model projects 4.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 80%, and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
More Super League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.