Match preview

FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC: projection vs result

FC Nordsjaelland

4 in the table · 4 pts from 2

Randers FC

10 in the table · 1 pts from 2

10

Final

The short answer

Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 54%, against 22% for Randers FC and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. It finished FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Randers FC.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

FC Nordsjaelland win

54%

Draw

24%

Randers FC win

22%

Most likely scorelines1111%2110%208%

What we said, and what happened

0 of 3 called correctly

Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.

  • Total goalsProjected 3.1Actual 1Missed
  • Both teams scoreProjected 60%Actual NoMissed
  • Over 2.5 goalsProjected 60%Actual NoMissed

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.9 1.2

Total goals 3.1

Both teams score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet

31%

Randers FC clean sheet

15%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.1

    15% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    FC Nordsjaelland 1.6 scored / 1.1 conceded · Randers FC 1.5 / 1.4 per game

  • Cards 3.9

    14% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    FC Nordsjaelland 1.9 + Randers FC 2.0 per game

  • Corners 11.3

    13% above a typical match · League average 10

    FC Nordsjaelland win 6.5 per game, Randers FC concede 6.3

Corners

League average 5

FC Nordsjaelland6.9
Randers FC4.4

Cards

League average 2.25

FC Nordsjaelland1.9
Randers FC2

Shots

League average 12.5

FC Nordsjaelland16.1
Randers FC11.2

Possession

FC Nordsjaelland55
Randers FC45

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

R. Norheim

FC Nordsjaelland

32%

Shots

R. Norheim

FC Nordsjaelland

1.7

FC Nordsjaelland · on target

R. Norheim

FC Nordsjaelland

1

Randers FC · on target

L. Lissens

Randers FC

0.6

FC Nordsjaelland · Recent form

  • W1-0Randers FC
  • W6-0Gais
  • D1-1AC Horsens
  • L0-1Gais
  • D2-2Hørsholm-Usserød

Randers FC · Recent form

  • L0-1FC Nordsjaelland
  • D1-1Silkeborg
  • D2-2Lechia Gdansk
  • W3-1Notts County
  • D2-2Aalborg

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Golazo's model makes FC Nordsjaelland the more likely winner at 54%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.