Match preview

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction

CF Montreal
v
Los Angeles Galaxy
372835
CF MontrealDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
Goals expectedBoth teams score56%Over 2.5 goals50%Total goals2.7
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

CF Montreal

Los Angeles Galaxy

13 in the table · 22 pts from 20

Sat, Aug 22, 07:30 PM

Saputo Stadium, Montreal

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: CF Montreal 37%, the draw 28%, Los Angeles Galaxy 35%. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: CF Montreal have scored in 12 of 19 league games this season, Los Angeles Galaxy in 17 of 20.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

CF Montreal win

37%

Draw

28%

Los Angeles Galaxy win

35%

Most likely scorelines1114%218%108%

What our model expects

CF MontrealPer gameLos Angeles Galaxy
Last 5LDDLL
1.4Cards2.7
1.1Conceded1.6
5.5Corners4.5
13.3Shots11.5
1.30Points per game1.20
1.4Expected goals1.3
1.3Scored1.3
50Possession50

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.3

Total goals 2.7

Both teams score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Over 1.5 goals

76%

CF Montreal clean sheet

27%

Los Angeles Galaxy clean sheet

25%

What stands out

  • Offsides 2.8

    19% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    CF Montreal 1.2 + Los Angeles Galaxy 1.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

CF Montreal5.5
Los Angeles Galaxy4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

CF Montreal1.4
Los Angeles Galaxy2.7

Shots

League average 12.5

CF Montreal13.3
Los Angeles Galaxy11.5

Possession

CF Montreal50
Los Angeles Galaxy50

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Gabriel Pec

Los Angeles Galaxy

43%

Shots

Gabriel Pec

Los Angeles Galaxy

2.6

CF Montreal · on target

H. Synchuk

CF Montreal

1.1

Los Angeles Galaxy · on target

Gabriel Pec

Los Angeles Galaxy

1.8

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

CF Montreal

At home
1.3
pts/game
1.3
scored
1.1
conceded
  • Scored in 12 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 30%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Los Angeles Galaxy

Away
1.2
pts/game
1.3
scored
1.6
conceded
  • Scored in 17 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 10%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

CF Montreal · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

Los Angeles Galaxy · Recent form

  • L0-1Houston Dynamo
  • D0-0FC Dallas
  • D1-1San Jose Earthquakes
  • L1-3St. Louis City
  • L0-3Los Angeles FC

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: CF Montreal 37%, the draw 28%, Los Angeles Galaxy 35%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

More MLS matches

All MLS fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.