Match preview

Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden prediction

Cercle Brugge
v
St. Truiden
282447
Cercle BruggeDrawSt. Truiden
Goals expectedBoth teams score66%Over 2.5 goals65%Total goals3.3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Cercle Brugge

8 in the table · 1 pts from 1

St. Truiden

11 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Fri, Aug 14, 02:45 PM

Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge

The short answer

Golazo's model makes St. Truiden the more likely winner at 47%, against 28% for Cercle Brugge and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: Cercle Brugge have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, St. Truiden in 1 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Cercle Brugge win

28%

Draw

24%

St. Truiden win

47%

Most likely scorelines1111%129%217%

What our model expects

Cercle BruggePer gameSt. Truiden
DDLLDLast 5DLLDW
1.4Expected goals1.9
14.0Shots15.9
5.6Corners5.0
48Possession52
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
2.0Cards2.0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.9

Total goals 3.3

Both teams score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

Cercle Brugge clean sheet

15%

St. Truiden clean sheet

24%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.3

    23% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Cercle Brugge 1.6 scored / 1.9 conceded · St. Truiden 1.5 / 1.1 per game

  • Offsides 4.2

    19% above a typical match · League average 3.5

    Cercle Brugge 2.2 + St. Truiden 2.0 per game

Corners

League average 5

Cercle Brugge5.6
St. Truiden5

Cards

League average 2.25

Cercle Brugge2
St. Truiden2

Shots

League average 12.5

Cercle Brugge14
St. Truiden15.9

Possession

Cercle Brugge48
St. Truiden52

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Cercle Brugge

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

St. Truiden

Away
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Cercle Brugge · Recent form

  • D2-2Standard Liege
  • D2-2Monaco
  • L0-3Reims
  • L2-3PEC Zwolle
  • D1-1Lommel United

St. Truiden · Recent form

  • D1-1Lommel United
  • L0-3AEK Athens FC
  • L0-1Helmond Sport
  • D0-0Al-Jazira
  • W1-0Liège

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

Golazo's model makes St. Truiden the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

More Jupiler Pro League matches

All Jupiler Pro League fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.