Match preview
Austin vs Philadelphia Union prediction
Austin
Philadelphia Union
Austin
14 in the table · 17 pts from 19
Philadelphia Union
Sat, Aug 22, 08:30 PM
Q2 Stadium, Austin
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Austin 39%, the draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 36%. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: Austin have scored in 14 of 19 league games this season, Philadelphia Union in 14 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Austin win
39%
Draw
25%
Philadelphia Union win
36%
What our model expects
AustinPer gamePhiladelphia UnionNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.6
Total goals 3.3
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Austin clean sheet
20%
Philadelphia Union clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Total goals 3.3
21% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Austin 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Philadelphia Union 1.5 / 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
32%
Shots
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
2.4
Austin · on target
M. Uzuni
Austin
0.9
Philadelphia Union · on target
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Austin
At home- 1.56
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 19
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Philadelphia Union
Away- 0.7
- pts/game
- 1.8
- scored
- 2.6
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 19
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Austin · Recent form
- L1-2FC Dallas
- D1-1Club America
- W3-0Puebla
- W2-0Club Tijuana
- L0-1Colorado Rapids
Philadelphia Union · Recent form
- W3-2New York City FC
- L0-2Santos Laguna
- W3-1Necaxa
- L0-1Cruz Azul
- W3-2Atlanta United FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Austin 39%, the draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 36%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
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- San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CityAug 15
- New York City FC vs Philadelphia UnionAug 16
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.