Match preview
Arsenal vs Coventry prediction
Arsenal
Coventry
Arsenal
1 in the table · 85 pts from 38
Coventry
Fri, Aug 21, 03:00 PM
Emirates Stadium, London
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Coventry the more likely winner at 45%, against 24% for Arsenal and 31% for the draw. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 43%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Arsenal win
24%
Draw
31%
Coventry win
45%
What our model expects
ArsenalPer gameCoventryBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.3
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Arsenal clean sheet
27%
Coventry clean sheet
42%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
20% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Arsenal 1.4 scored / 1.0 conceded · Coventry 1.9 / 0.8 per game
Offsides 4.5
27% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Arsenal 2.2 + Coventry 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Simms
Coventry
28%
Shots
E. Simms
Coventry
2.8
Arsenal · on target
Gabriel Jesus
Arsenal
1.2
Coventry · on target
E. Simms
Coventry
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Arsenal
At home- 2.47
- pts/game
- 2.16
- scored
- 0.58
- conceded
- Scored in 35 of 38
- Clean sheet in 58%
When their goals arrive
Arsenal · Recent form
- W3-0Manchester City
- D1-1Como
- L2-3Borussia Dortmund
- L1-3Real Betis
- W4-1Girona
Coventry · Recent form
- W2-0Monaco
- W3-1Espanyol
- D0-0Northampton
- W4-0Watford
- W3-1Wrexham
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Coventry?
Golazo's model makes Coventry the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 31%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Coventry?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Coventry?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 43%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.